Friday, April 30, 2010


You never really know where a Midwestern storm in May will end up, but it now seems rain is imminent in Louisville. Lots of it. There is no straight way to play the mud, but often it favors the early speed and, of course, some horses seem to relish it while others can't pick their feet up on it. It's possible the mud could tire the front tier as well, so I'll hedge my position, but I've narrowed the field now to about five.

Super Saver
Devil May Care
Lookin at Lucky
American Lion

As the sagely Baffert said, it's more important to have the horse than to have the post. He said something like that.


  1. There's a front but it's headed to Chicago.
    I can't see Louisville getting more than 3 hourse of downpour. Besides it can disintegrate overnight.

  2. Ah man, my Derby party might get rained on.

  3. Shay D. NickelplayMay 3, 2010 at 10:46 AM

    Wherever, whenever Icebox races next, he will be the favorite.